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More people should view this simplistic, straight forward explanation above of Herd Immunity - it doesn't really explain the cost of getting to the "sweet spot" of 60% immune "herd"Sarah wrote: ↑Sat Mar 14 2020 8:38pmOne of the Royal Institution Christmas Lectures attempted to explain & demonstrate herd immunity at a level that children (or maybe even the Johnson government) could understand at the end of last year. It can be seen here on youtube - skip to 22 mins if you don't want to watch the whole episode:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_q4DrUHKC0Q
It unlikely to be that many it's only really fatal to some pensioners
I gave the predictons earlier, based on the Irish scenario, and comments re herd immunity, so there should be no surprises here - even after widespread exposure, we don't even know if you will be protected once you've had it! The variables are a terminal infection of 40-60% of the population and a mortality rate of 1-3.4% - and currently, mortality rates are higher, not lower.kevinchess1 wrote: ↑Sun Mar 15 2020 4:52pmIt unlikely to be that many it's only really fatal to some pensioners
12 million at 60% = 7,200,000
1%=72,000
If the government bring in their 'Isolating over 70's policy it probably won't reach 5 figures
No, Boro Boy's right. (Bet you never thought I'd say that! Interesting times indeed!)kevinchess1 wrote: ↑Sun Mar 15 2020 4:52pmIt unlikely to be that many it's only really fatal to some pensioners
12 million at 60% = 7,200,000
1%=72,000
If the government bring in their 'Isolating over 70's policy it probably won't reach 5 figures
Soap is fine when you have access to water to wash your hands.
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