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- What Are You Stockpiling for Coronavirus?
And let's keep watching our stockpiling!!macliam wrote: ↑Wed Mar 11 2020 12:18pmOff immediate topic (there's a first!), but a little item you might miss.
Taoiseach Leo Varadkar has put numbers against the COVID-19 threat to Ireland.
Announcing plans for tackling the impact of the virus in view of a number of cases of people infected locally by contact with earlier victims, he said the worst-case scenario could see 85,000 people die from COVID-19 in Ireland. That's 85,000 from a population of 5 million - which extrapolates to over a million for the UK!!
Varadkar was asked about projections that the virus could impact 50-60% of the population, according to estimates based on what had been learned from other countries. He agreed that mathematical modelling suggested that this could be the case and that "a percentage that we don’t know, we honestly don’t know yet – it could be less than 1pc, it could be as much as 3pc – or 3.4pc – mortality. We don’t know yet.......But when you’re talking about one, two, or three per cent, of half the population, those are very big figures"
For the UK that would suggest over 1 million deaths - however the UK population median age is slightly higher than that of Ireland at 40.5 against 36.8, with a higher percentage over 65 (18% to 14%). Even at the low-end of mortality rates this would give a toll of 350,000 for the UK, that's the population of Leicester, or Cardiff, or Belfast.
Let's keep washing our hands!!
I've heard this 60% figure a couple of times this week. Where does it come from?
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